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The Chinese Journal of International Politics 2007 1(3):309-345; doi:10.1093/cjip/pom001
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Reproduced from the Science of International Politics, with kind permission of the authors and the Institute of International Studies, Tsinghua University.

Preferences, Information and the Deterrence Game*

Xiang Ganghua{dagger} and Wang Yongxian

{dagger} Corresponding author. Email: xianggh.03@sem.tsinghua.edu.cn

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

The doctrine of deterrence was a leading theory within the field of international security throughout the Cold War period. At one time it was regarded as social science's most influential theoretical innovation. At least three different approaches to the study of deterrence were developed during the Cold War period. They include the game theoretical approach pioneered by Thomas Schelling in the 1960s, a psychological approach developed by Robert Jervis in the 1970s, and a case study-based approach introduced by George Alexander. As the Cold War period drew to a close, conventional deterrence theory received renewed academic attention. Scholars began to apply statistical methods of testing deterrence theory's various empirical implications. A major conclusion reached in this research was that game theory has promising possibilities when applied to international security-oriented studies of deterrence, as deterrence involves a limited number of actors that strategically engage on the basis of respective interests.1

Consequently, . . . [Full Text of this Article]


    An Analysis of the General Logic of Deterrence
 
The Cost–Benefit Analysis Approach to Deterrence Theory

The Rational Choice Approach to Deterrence

Game Theoretic Approach to Deterrence

The Deterrence Game

Necessary Conditions for Credible Deterrence

An Extended Discussion of Credible Deterrence


    Signaling Deterrence with Incomplete Information
 
Basic Model of Deterrence with Incomplete Information

Signaling Deterrence

The Signaling Game and Types of Signals

Models of Deterrence Based on the Signaling Game

Equilibria of the Deterrence Game

Signaling Models of Compellence


    Case Studies of Deterrence Games
 
Strategic Interaction Between Iraq and the US prior to Desert Storm

Sino-US Strategic Interaction Prior to Chinese Entry into Korea

US–Soviet Strategic Interactions During the Cuban Missile Crisis

Strategic Interaction between Argentina and the UK in the Falkland Islands


    Conclusion
 

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